How Much of The Big Short Is True?

by Chris Davies

The Big Short (2015), directed by Adam McKay, is one of the most popular films about the financial crisis of 2007–2008. Based on Michael Lewis’s non-fiction book The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine, the movie tells the story of a handful of investors who saw the housing market collapse before it happened and bet against it. The film has been praised for making complex financial concepts understandable, while also providing a dramatic, yet entertaining, look at the events that led to one of the worst economic crashes in history.

However, as with most films based on real events, viewers are left to wonder: How much of The Big Short is actually true? The movie blends real-life characters with fictionalized events, and while the general story of the 2008 financial crisis is accurate, some creative liberties were taken to make the story more engaging and digestible for a wide audience.

In this article, we will explore how much of The Big Short reflects the truth behind the events of the financial crisis and examine the accuracy of the film’s portrayal of key characters, events, and financial concepts. By comparing the real story with its Hollywood version, we can understand the balance between truth and artistic license in the making of this gripping drama.

The True Story Behind The Big Short

Before delving into the accuracy of the film, it’s important to understand the real story behind The Big Short. The movie focuses on four groups of investors who saw the housing market crash coming before most people did. These groups were led by a mix of outsiders, including Michael Burry, a hedge fund manager, and Mark Baum, a character based on the real-life Steve Eisman, a money manager who was suspicious of the market’s stability.

The film begins in 2005, when Burry discovered that the housing market was built on risky loans. He realized that the housing bubble was bound to burst and decided to short (bet against) the mortgage-backed securities tied to these loans. This was an incredibly risky move, as most investors at the time believed the market would continue to rise. As the film progresses, the audience follows other investors who begin to realize the same thing and make their own moves to profit from the upcoming collapse.

While The Big Short captures the essence of these events, it does so through a lens that simplifies, condenses, and sometimes alters certain aspects for dramatic effect. The movie is less about the precise details of the financial instruments involved and more about the human stories of those who saw the crash coming, making it a unique mix of education and entertainment.

Key Characters in The Big Short and Their Real-Life Counterparts

One of the main strengths of The Big Short is its portrayal of the individuals who bet against the housing market. Each character in the film is based on a real person, though some of the personalities and backstories are altered for dramatic purposes.

Michael Burry (Played by Christian Bale)

Michael Burry is one of the most important figures in The Big Short. As a hedge fund manager, Burry was among the first to recognize that the housing market was on the brink of collapse. He is portrayed in the movie as a socially awkward, brilliant investor who has a deep understanding of complex financial systems. In reality, Burry did indeed make the decision to short the housing market based on his analysis of the subprime mortgage market, and he did it largely independently, without the support of others.

However, the movie portrays Burry in a slightly exaggerated light, showing him as somewhat eccentric and a bit of a lone wolf. While he did have a unique personality, Burry was also more personable and engaged with others than the film suggests. His real-life decision to bet against the housing market took place in 2005, much earlier than most other investors recognized the danger. The film accurately shows the pressure he faced from investors and the skepticism surrounding his decision, but it doesn’t capture all of the complexity of his motivations and the obstacles he had to overcome.

Mark Baum (Played by Steve Carell)

Mark Baum, the character played by Steve Carell, is based on Steve Eisman, a real-life money manager who was skeptical of the financial system and understood the implications of the subprime mortgage crisis. The movie portrays Baum as a hot-headed, emotionally driven investor who is outraged by the system’s corruption. Eisman, in reality, was known for his sharp criticism of Wall Street and the practices that led to the crisis.

While Carell’s portrayal of Baum captures the essence of Eisman’s anger and disillusionment, it takes some liberties with his personality. The real Eisman is not as explosive or quick to anger as Carell’s performance suggests. However, the core of Eisman’s character—a man who recognized the dangers of the mortgage market and wanted to expose its flaws—is portrayed quite faithfully.

Jared Vennett (Played by Ryan Gosling)

Jared Vennett, played by Ryan Gosling, is a fictionalized version of a character based on Greg Lippmann, a Deutsche Bank trader who played a key role in spreading the idea of betting against the housing market. In the movie, Vennett is portrayed as a slick, confident salesman who helps other investors short the market. The real Lippmann was indeed a key player in the crisis, and he was instrumental in helping investors like Burry and Baum make their bets.

The film exaggerates Lippmann’s charm and persona to make him more charismatic and entertaining, but the essence of his role in the collapse remains intact. Vennett’s brashness and his role as a middleman between investors and the larger financial institutions reflect Lippmann’s real-life activities, although the movie simplifies some of the finer details.

The Frontline Investigators and Real-Life Context

The movie shows a number of other real-life characters, such as the Wall Street bankers, traders, and regulators, but they are often reduced to secondary roles or come across as mere background figures. This helps streamline the film’s narrative and keeps the focus on the main protagonists. However, The Big Short does briefly touch on the role of rating agencies like Standard & Poor’s, who gave top ratings to the subprime mortgage-backed securities despite their obvious risks.

In reality, the failure of rating agencies and the lack of proper regulation in the financial system were crucial factors in the crash. The film’s portrayal of the widespread ignorance and corruption on Wall Street is mostly accurate, though it can be hard to fully capture the breadth of these systemic issues in a two-hour film.

The Financial Instruments and Events in The Big Short

One of the main challenges of adapting The Big Short into a movie was simplifying the complex financial concepts behind the crisis. The film does a remarkable job of breaking down intricate topics like mortgage-backed securities, collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), and credit default swaps (CDS), using clever visual aids and even cameos from celebrities to explain these concepts to the audience.

However, while the film makes these financial instruments accessible, it doesn’t delve too deeply into the specifics of how they functioned in the real world. The basic premise of investors betting against the housing market through these financial products is accurate, but some of the smaller details are either skipped over or oversimplified for dramatic effect. For instance, the film shows Burry buying credit default swaps against the subprime market, which is true, but it doesn’t explain how these swaps functioned in a more technical sense.

The collapse of Lehman Brothers, the government bailout of financial institutions, and the ultimate fallout from the housing crash are all depicted with relative accuracy, though the film takes some liberties with the timing and portrayal of certain events. For example, the film suggests that the investors who bet against the housing market knew about the collapse long before it happened, but in reality, the timing of the crisis was uncertain for most.

Conclusion

In conclusion, The Big Short provides a largely accurate representation of the financial crisis and the investors who foresaw its collapse. The movie captures the essence of the subprime mortgage crisis, its key players, and the complex financial instruments that fueled the crash. However, like most Hollywood adaptations, it takes creative liberties in order to tell a compelling story. Characters are often simplified or exaggerated for dramatic effect, and some of the financial details are streamlined to make them more accessible to a wide audience.

While it’s important to understand that The Big Short is not a perfect documentary, it does succeed in bringing attention to the flaws of the financial system and the people who profited from its collapse. In the end, the film succeeds in educating its audience about the causes of the 2008 financial crisis while still providing a fast-paced, engaging narrative. It’s a valuable tool for understanding how greed, ignorance, and a lack of regulation led to one of the most devastating economic crashes in modern history.

So, while not everything in The Big Short is true to the exact letter of history, the overall story—of a handful of people who saw the financial system’s collapse coming and made bets to profit from it—is fundamentally accurate. The film may take some liberties, but it succeeds in delivering an important message about the fragility of the financial system and the consequences of systemic corruption.

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